Commentary and Strategies for the Hong Kong Stock Market

Tuesday, April 7, 2009

Technical Analysis

Use DMI (good for med to long term) to determine whether it is range bound or trending:

If trending, use moving average.. if range bound, use RSI or STC..


STC:

Good for short term; daily STC must be confirm by weekly STC..

RSI (leading):

1. Only use in range bound situation. Don't use if the market is in a primarily upward or downward trend.

2. Good mostly for short term use. Use weekly RSI for long term analysis. For short-term analysis, use 9 or 12 day- RSI, for medium or long term, use 9 or 14-week RSI. Better if the daily and weekly RSI confirm one another.

3. Breakout and crossing/bouncing the 50% line are better signals than 30/70 and divergance.

MACD (lagging):

1. Good for medium to long term analysis. Quite lagging for short term anlysis.

Williams %R: range bound... not good for trending market...

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